Paul Saffo's Abstract

Title: Lost in a forest of exponentials

Abstract: This is an age shaped by much more than Moore's Law - it is an age of

multiplying exponentials in myriad fields from computer science to life science and

beyond, each creating surprise, opportunity - and turbulence. The combined effect is a

"hyper-exponential moment" defined by multiple exponential phenomena collectively

cross-impacting and cross-accelerating science discovery and technological innovation.

The consequence is the defining challenge of our age: the ever-growing gap between

hyper-exponential acceleration and slower-moving cultural and social norms and

systems. A century of discovery has left us lost in an exponential forest, distracted by our

innovations and utterly unable to find our way out. The actions we take to address this in

the next decade will define the shape of the next century -- and perhaps the future of